Goal and Result Distributions (updated 2018)

2018-08-21

Goals, the rare beauty of football. No other sport has such a low scoring frequency as football. But isn't that exactly what makes the sport so intriguing? A small moment of carelessness can make all the difference and a whole season goes down the drain. Just ask the "Meister der Herzen" of Schalke 04 in 2001 about a guy named Patrick Andersson and how he ruined a full season by a freekick. In this article, we examine how rare goals actually are and how the average number of goals per game has developed over the years. Also, we are going to look at the most frequent results in football history.

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Home-field Advantage (updated 2018)

2018-08-21

There are many articles or blog posts about home-field advantage in football. No matter which article you consult, they all reach a similar conclusion: Home-field advantage exists, but it is declining. We here use our dataset of more than 1 million games played in 225 top-tier leagues and international cups to analyse home-field advantage on a global scale. While our results confirm its decline, their are some interesting country specific surprises.

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What's new on soccerverse?

2018-08-20

A Summary of recent changes on soccerverse.

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What's new on soccerverse? (August 2018)

2018-08-01

A Summary of recent changes on soccerverse.

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Forcasting Leagues and match results

2018-05-25

We started forecasting several European leagues a while back, both final standings and upcoming matches. The forecasts are based on our world team ranking and should help to evaluate the quality of the ranking more objectively. The better the predictions, the better our ranking assesses actual team strength (at least theoretically). This article provides an analysis of the season 2017/18. Technical details of our prediction model will soon be available in the method section.

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What's new on soccerverse? (April 2018)

2018-04-01

A Summary of recent changes on soccerverse.

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What's new on soccerverse? (March 2018)

2018-03-23

A Summary of recent changes on soccerverse.

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Ranking Methods 2: Elo Ratings for women's football

2018-02-28

This is the second part of the series "Ranking Methods in football". The series introduces a variety of methods to determine the strongest teams on various levels of football. This article explains how Elo ratings (originating from chess) can be used to rank continental football teams. Like PageRank, the procedure comes with the desired feature of adjusting for the strength of schedule. That is, winning against stronger teams is more beneficial than winning against weaker teams. Instead of our dataset on male football, we here use a newly gathered dataset comprising 50 European leagues of women’s football.

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What's new on soccerverse? (February 2018)

2018-02-28

A Summary of recent changes on soccerverse.

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What's new on soccerverse? (January 2018)

2018-01-11

A Summary of recent changes on soccerverse.

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Statistics of 2017

2018-01-06

How many goals were scored in 2017? What where the most frequent results? And most importantly: What was the best team in the world? This article provides the answers and a very brief (statistical) recap of the year 2017 in football.

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Ranking Methods 1: Page Rank

2017-07-31

This is the first part of the series "Ranking Methods in football". The series introduces a variety of methods to determine the strongest teams on various levels of football. This article explains how Google's PageRank can be used as a rating method for domestic, continental and world-wide football. The procedure comes with the desired feature of adjusting for the strength of schedule. That is, winning against stronger teams is more beneficial than winning against weaker teams. We use this method to rank several European domestic leagues, find the strongest teams in Europe and also the strongest team in the world, all for the Season 2016/17. Be prepared for a surprise in the English Premier League!

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